Identification and analysis of the most likely scenario for the development of futsal in Iran (a prospective study)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Doctoral student of Sports Management, Allameh Tabatabai University, Tehran

2 Allameh Tabatabaei University

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to identify and analyze the most likely scenario for the development of futsal in the country. The research is based on a prospective research approach, which is applied purpose and survey method. The statistical population includes all experts who have the knowledge and experience in championship and professional sports and futsal. Sampling is in the form of a snowball. 12 interviews conducted with experts. Various techniques and tools such as interviews, expert panels and questionnaires were used. Techniques such as Delphi technique, cross effects analysis, structural analysis, balance of mutual effects and Mic Mac and Scenario Wizard software were also used in data processing. 34 influential factors of futsal development in the country were identified. Using the analysis method (cross-effects) and Mic Mac software, the position of each factor in the obtained system was determined, and 8 drivers were identified as the most key future makers in the development of futsal , and by using them, the most likely basket The country's futsal development scenario was obtained, and in this basket of scenarios, all 8 drivers will occur in a disaster mode in a 10-year time horizon. The results of this research can be effective as a guide in estimating and forecasting the future of Iranian sports organizations that are related to futsal sports and show a path that will distance them from critical conditions and bring them closer to ideal conditions and lead to development. Quantitative and qualitative fields help a lot.

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History

  • Receive Date: 15 November 2022
  • Revise Date: 22 January 2023
  • Accept Date: 08 December 2023

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